Chichester City vs SE Dons Saturday 19th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

FA Cup

Sept. 19, 2026 1 week, 3 days from now VS

Chichester City SE Dons

Chichester City W D L D W L

SE Dons W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Away	Broadfields United	1 - 4	Win
Aug 1, 26	Away	Bognor Regis Town	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 16, 25	Home	Whitstable Town	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 13, 25	Away	Whitstable Town	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 30, 25	Away	Havant & Wville	0 - 1	Win
Aug 1, 25	Home	Bognor Regis Town	0 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Home	Erith Town	2 - 0	Win

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.85% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Chichester City has a 47.67% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.74 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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