Primera A
Match Analysis
Chico
Alianza Petrolera
Chico
L
D
W
D
W
L
Alianza Petrolera
L
L
W
D
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alianza Petrolera | Chico | 1 - 1 | January 28, 2026 |
| Alianza Petrolera | Chico | 2 - 0 | November 9, 2025 |
| Chico | Alianza Petrolera | 2 - 1 | May 18, 2025 |
| Alianza Petrolera | Chico | 4 - 0 | August 24, 2024 |
| Chico | Alianza Petrolera | 1 - 0 | February 19, 2024 |
| Alianza Petrolera | Chico | 1 - 1 | September 6, 2023 |
Chico Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 26 | Home | Llaneros | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Millonarios | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Depor FC | 4 - 0 | Win |
| May 7, 26 | Away | Patriotas | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 2, 26 | Home | Llaneros | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Apr 27, 26 | Away | La Equidad | 4 - 0 | Loss |
Alianza Petrolera Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 26 | Away | Bucaramanga | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 21, 26 | Away | Deportivo Cali | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Real Santander | 3 - 0 | Win |
| May 8, 26 | Away | Popayan | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 3, 26 | Home | Millonarios | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Apr 26, 26 | Away | Llaneros | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Primera A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Alianza Petrolera | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 17 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.21% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Chico to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Chico has a 35.22% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.85 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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