Primera A
Match Analysis
Chico
Alianza Petrolera
Chico
W
D
D
L
L
L
Alianza Petrolera
L
L
L
L
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alianza Petrolera | Chico | 1 - 1 | January 28, 2026 |
| Alianza Petrolera | Chico | 2 - 0 | November 9, 2025 |
| Chico | Alianza Petrolera | 2 - 1 | May 18, 2025 |
| Alianza Petrolera | Chico | 4 - 0 | August 24, 2024 |
| Chico | Alianza Petrolera | 1 - 0 | February 19, 2024 |
| Alianza Petrolera | Chico | 1 - 1 | September 6, 2023 |
Chico Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Once Caldas | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Rionegro Aguilas | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 26, 26 | Home | Fortaleza FC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | Jaguares | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Santa Fe | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | America de Cali | 7 - 0 | Loss |
Alianza Petrolera Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 26 | Away | Once Caldas | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 3, 26 | Away | America de Cali | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Atletico Nacional | 1 - 5 | Loss |
| Aug 26, 26 | Away | Cucuta | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Deportivo Pereira | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Bucaramanga | 2 - 3 | Loss |
Primera A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Chico | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 44 | -25 | 22 |
| 19 | Alianza Petrolera | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 42 | -24 | 19 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.01% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Chico to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Chico has a 38.75% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.92 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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