Chico vs Fortaleza FC Wednesday 26th August 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Primera A

Aug. 26, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Chico Fortaleza FC

Chico L L L D W D

Fortaleza FC W L D D D D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Fortaleza FC	Chico	2 - 1	February 16, 2026
Fortaleza FC	Chico	1 - 0	October 14, 2025
Chico	Fortaleza FC	0 - 2	April 21, 2025
Chico	Fortaleza FC	2 - 2	September 1, 2024
Fortaleza FC	Chico	1 - 1	February 23, 2024
Fortaleza FC	Chico	2 - 1	August 6, 2016

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 8, 26	Away	Santa Fe	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 2, 26	Away	America de Cali	7 - 0	Loss
May 27, 26	Home	Llaneros	0 - 1	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	Millonarios	2 - 2	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	Depor FC	4 - 0	Win
May 7, 26	Away	Patriotas	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 8, 26	Home	Cucuta	2 - 0	Win
Aug 4, 26	Away	Llaneros	3 - 1	Loss
Aug 1, 26	Home	Deportivo Pereira	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 26, 26	Away	Alianza Petrolera	1 - 1	Draw
May 29, 26	Away	Cucuta	0 - 0	Draw
May 20, 26	Home	Orsomarso	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
15	Fortaleza FC	23	6	9	8	26	31	-5	27
19	Chico	21	5	2	14	15	41	-26	17

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.12% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Fortaleza FC has a 42.63% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.70 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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