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Friendlies

June 6, 2026 3 weeks, 2 days ago
1 – 0
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Match Analysis

China PR U23 Tajikistan U23
China PR U23 W D D D W L
Tajikistan U23 W W D D L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

China PR U23 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Mar 31, 26 Home Vietnam U23 1 - 0 Win
Mar 28, 26 Home Korea DPR U23 1 - 1 Draw
Mar 25, 26 Home Thailand U23 2 - 2 Draw
Oct 14, 25 Home Thailand U23 0 - 0 Draw
Oct 10, 25 Home Thailand U23 3 - 1 Win
Mar 26, 24 Away Saudi Arabia U23 2 - 0 Loss

Tajikistan U23 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Mar 31, 26 Away India U23 0 - 1 Win
Mar 25, 26 Away Bhutan U23 0 - 1 Win
Jun 24, 25 Home Kyrgyz Republic U23 0 - 0 Draw
Mar 23, 24 Home Vietnam U23 0 - 0 Draw
Mar 20, 24 Home Vietnam U23 0 - 1 Loss
Jun 19, 23 Home Hong Kong U23 2 - 1 Win

Friendlies Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
64 Tajikistan U23 2 2 0 0 2 0 +2 6
74 China PR U23 3 1 2 0 4 3 +1 5

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 61.58% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

China PR U23 to win
This prediction indicates that China PR U23 has a 46.91% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.41 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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