China vs New Zealand Sunday 27th September 2026 02:35 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Friendlies

Sept. 27, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

China New Zealand
China D W D L L L
New Zealand L L D L L L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
New Zealand China 2 - 1 March 26, 2023
New Zealand China 0 - 0 March 23, 2023

China Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 9, 26 Home Thailand 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 5, 26 Away Singapore 1 - 2 Win
Jan 26, 26 Away Uzbekistan 2 - 2 Draw
Jan 1, 24 Home Hong Kong 1 - 2 Loss
Dec 29, 23 Home Oman 0 - 2 Loss
Oct 16, 23 Home Uzbekistan 1 - 2 Loss

New Zealand Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Home Belgium 1 - 5 Loss
Jun 22, 26 Home Egypt 1 - 3 Loss
Jun 16, 26 Away Iran 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 6, 26 Away England 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 3, 26 Away Haiti 4 - 0 Loss
Nov 19, 25 Away Ecuador 2 - 0 Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.94% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
China to win
This prediction indicates that China has a 51.43% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.82 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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