China vs Tajikistan Tuesday 06th October 2026 02:35 PM football predictions.

Friendlies

Oct. 6, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

China Tajikistan

China D W D L L L

Tajikistan D W W L W W

STRENGTH

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
China	Tajikistan	1 - 0	June 11, 2019

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 9, 26	Home	Thailand	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 5, 26	Away	Singapore	1 - 2	Win
Jan 26, 26	Away	Uzbekistan	2 - 2	Draw
Jan 1, 24	Home	Hong Kong	1 - 2	Loss
Dec 29, 23	Home	Oman	0 - 2	Loss
Oct 16, 23	Home	Uzbekistan	1 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 9, 26	Home	India	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 5, 26	Home	India	3 - 1	Win
Jun 5, 25	Away	Cambodia	1 - 2	Win
Mar 20, 25	Home	Belarus	0 - 5	Loss
Nov 19, 24	Home	Afghanistan	3 - 1	Win
Nov 13, 24	Home	Nepal	4 - 0	Win

This prediction indicates that China has a 44.81% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.56 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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