Chita vs Chertanovo Moscow Wednesday 12th August 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Chita Chertanovo Moscow

Chita W L L D L L

Chertanovo Moscow L L L W W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 30, 26	Home	Irkutsk	3 - 0	Win
Mar 22, 22	Home	Zenit Izhevsk	1 - 2	Loss
Mar 19, 22	Away	Avangard Kursk	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 14, 21	Away	PFC Sochi	2 - 2	Draw
Mar 19, 21	Away	Orenburg II	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 19, 20	Home	Zenit Irkutsk	0 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 20, 25	Away	Volgar Astrakhan	2 - 1	Loss
Jan 25, 25	Home	Kosmos Dolgoprudny	0 - 2	Loss
Sep 4, 24	Away	Chelyabinsk	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 21, 24	Home	Saturn Ramenskoye	3 - 1	Win
Feb 20, 24	Away	Khimki	0 - 1	Win
Aug 23, 23	Home	Dinamo Kirov	0 - 1	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.77% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Chita has a 52.9% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.47 %

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