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July 29, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Chita Irkutsk
Chita L L D L L L
Irkutsk L W W W L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Chita Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Mar 22, 22 Home Zenit Izhevsk 1 - 2 Loss
Mar 19, 22 Away Avangard Kursk 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 14, 21 Away PFC Sochi 2 - 2 Draw
Mar 19, 21 Away Orenburg II 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 19, 20 Home Zenit Irkutsk 0 - 1 Loss
Mar 25, 20 Home Kuban Kholding 1 - 2 Loss

Irkutsk Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 25, 25 Home Chelyabinsk 2 - 3 Loss
Sep 11, 25 Home KDV 3 - 0 Win
Aug 21, 25 Home Novosibirsk 2 - 0 Win
Aug 7, 25 Away Buryatia 0 - 8 Win
Aug 21, 24 Away Dinamo Vladivostok 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 23, 23 Home Dinamo Vladivostok 0 - 0 Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.61% likelihood that both Chita and Irkutsk will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Chita or Irkutsk to win
This prediction indicates that Irkutsk has a 43.2% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.14 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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