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National League - North

Aug. 31, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Chorley Brackley Town
Chorley L L L L D L
Brackley Town D W W L D D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Chorley Brackley Town 4 - 1 February 11, 2025
Brackley Town Chorley 0 - 2 September 3, 2024
Brackley Town Chorley 1 - 0 February 27, 2024
Chorley Brackley Town 1 - 1 August 5, 2023
Brackley Town Chorley 1 - 1 February 11, 2023
Chorley Brackley Town 0 - 0 September 3, 2022

Chorley Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Away South Shields 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Chester 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 28, 26 Away Trafford 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Accrington ST 0 - 3 Loss
Jul 21, 26 Home Altrincham 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 11, 26 Home Bury 1 - 2 Loss

Brackley Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Home Hebburn Town 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Away AFC Telford United 1 - 2 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Maidenhead 1 - 0 Win
Jul 21, 26 Away Stratford Town 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Away Cardiff MET 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 14, 26 Away Leamington 2 - 2 Draw

National League - North Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Brackley Town 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
15 Chorley 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0

Predictions

Chorley to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Chorley has a 35.63% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.59 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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