Chorley vs Chester Saturday 08th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Chorley Chester

Chorley D L L W D L

Chester W L W W W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Chester	Chorley	3 - 3	January 17, 2026
Chorley	Chester	3 - 0	August 16, 2025
Chorley	Chester	3 - 2	March 8, 2025
Chester	Chorley	2 - 1	November 23, 2024
Chorley	Chester	0 - 2	January 23, 2024
Chester	Chorley	0 - 0	August 15, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 21, 26	Home	Altrincham	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Home	Bury	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Away	Bamber Bridge	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	Worksop Town	2 - 1	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	King's Lynn Town	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Home	Curzon Ashton	0 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 24, 26	Away	Hyde United	0 - 1	Win
Jul 21, 26	Home	Stoke City	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Warrington Town	0 - 2	Win
Jul 14, 26	Home	Fleetwood Town	2 - 0	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	Vauxhall Motors	0 - 2	Win
Apr 29, 26	Away	Macclesfield	2 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Chester	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Chorley	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that Chester has a 50.0% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.39 %

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