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National League - North

Sept. 8, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Chorley Darlington 1883
Chorley W W L L L L
Darlington 1883 L L W L L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Chorley Darlington 1883 1 - 2 January 24, 2026
Darlington 1883 Chorley 2 - 3 August 9, 2025
Darlington 1883 Chorley 1 - 1 March 25, 2025
Chorley Darlington 1883 3 - 0 October 22, 2024
Darlington 1883 Chorley 0 - 3 March 29, 2024
Chorley Darlington 1883 8 - 0 November 14, 2023

Chorley Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Home Scarborough Athletic 2 - 1 Win
Aug 18, 26 Away Marine 0 - 2 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away South Shields 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Chester 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 28, 26 Away Trafford 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Accrington ST 0 - 3 Loss

Darlington 1883 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Away Harborough Town 4 - 2 Loss
Aug 18, 26 Home Chester 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Away Bedford Town 2 - 3 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home Worksop Town 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 28, 26 Home Rotherham 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 21, 26 Home Carlisle 2 - 4 Loss

National League - North Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
16 Chorley 3 1 0 2 4 4 0 3
17 Darlington 1883 3 1 0 2 4 5 -1 3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.42% likelihood that both Chorley and Darlington 1883 will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Chorley to win
This prediction indicates that Chorley has a 46.35% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.77 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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