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Serie D logo

Serie D

May 31, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
1 – 3
Full Time

Match Analysis

Cianorte Santa Catarina
Cianorte D W L W W L
Santa Catarina W W L W L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Santa Catarina Cianorte 1 - 0 April 11, 2026

Cianorte Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 23, 26 Away Joinville 0 - 0 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Cascavel 1 - 0 Win
May 10, 26 Home São Luiz 0 - 1 Loss
May 3, 26 Away São Luiz 0 - 1 Win
Apr 26, 26 Away Cascavel 0 - 1 Win
Apr 19, 26 Home Joinville 1 - 2 Loss

Santa Catarina Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 23, 26 Home São Luiz 1 - 0 Win
May 16, 26 Home Joinville 1 - 0 Win
May 10, 26 Away Guarany de Bagé 1 - 0 Loss
May 2, 26 Home Guarany de Bagé 3 - 0 Win
Apr 25, 26 Away Joinville 2 - 1 Loss
Apr 18, 26 Away São Luiz 4 - 4 Draw

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
34 Santa Catarina 8 4 1 3 11 8 +3 13
37 Cianorte 8 4 1 3 7 5 +2 13

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.3% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Cianorte to win
This prediction indicates that Cianorte has a 45.2% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.43 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.96% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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