Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso Saturday 15th August 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Cienciano Deportivo Garcilaso

Cienciano W L L L W D

Deportivo Garcilaso W L W D W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Deportivo Garcilaso	Cienciano	2 - 3	February 28, 2026
Deportivo Garcilaso	Cienciano	2 - 1	August 2, 2025
Cienciano	Deportivo Garcilaso	2 - 3	February 23, 2025
Deportivo Garcilaso	Cienciano	1 - 0	September 21, 2024
Cienciano	Deportivo Garcilaso	0 - 2	April 20, 2024
Deportivo Garcilaso	Cienciano	0 - 3	September 25, 2023

Cienciano Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 30, 26	Home	Lanus	4 - 0	Win
Jul 25, 26	Away	Juan Pablo II College	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 23, 26	Away	Lanus	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	FBC Melgar	1 - 3	Loss
May 31, 26	Home	Sporting Cristal	3 - 2	Win
May 27, 26	Home	Juventud	1 - 1	Draw

Deportivo Garcilaso Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 27, 26	Home	FC Cajamarca	2 - 1	Win
Jul 17, 26	Away	Sporting Cristal	1 - 0	Loss
May 30, 26	Home	Juan Pablo II College	4 - 1	Win
May 25, 26	Away	Comerciantes Unidos	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	UTC	2 - 0	Win
May 11, 26	Home	Alianza Atletico	2 - 1	Win

Primera División Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Cienciano	19	10	3	6	35	27	+8	33
7	Deportivo Garcilaso	19	8	5	6	23	20	+3	29

Predictions

Cienciano to win

This prediction indicates that Cienciano has a 55.62% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.75 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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