Cirencester Town vs Farnham Town Saturday 19th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

FA Cup

Sept. 19, 2026 1 week, 3 days from now VS

Cirencester Town Farnham Town

Cirencester Town W L D L L L

Farnham Town D W W L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Away	Fleetlands	0 - 3	Win
Aug 5, 25	Away	Reading City	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 2, 25	Home	Reading City	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 22, 25	Home	Swindon Supermarine	2 - 4	Loss
Aug 3, 24	Away	Fairford Town	7 - 0	Loss
Jul 23, 24	Home	Gloucester City	0 - 5	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Away	Hemel Hempstead Town	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 31, 26	Home	Torquay	2 - 0	Win
Aug 29, 26	Away	Horsham	1 - 2	Win
Aug 22, 26	Home	Billericay Town	2 - 4	Loss
Aug 18, 26	Away	Slough Town	0 - 1	Win
Aug 14, 26	Away	Dagenham & Redbridge	2 - 1	Loss

This prediction indicates that Cirencester Town has a 41.89% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.92 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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