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Primera Nacional

Sept. 12, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Ciudad de Bolívar Central Norte
Ciudad de Bolívar D L L L W D
Central Norte D W D D W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Central Norte Ciudad de Bolívar 0 - 1 April 26, 2026

Ciudad de Bolívar Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 23, 26 Home Racing Cordoba 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Away Agropecuario 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Almirante Brown 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 2, 26 Home Atletico Mitre 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Away CA Estudiantes 1 - 2 Win
Jul 17, 26 Home All Boys 0 - 0 Draw

Central Norte Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 27, 26 Home Deportivo Moron 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 23, 26 Home CA Estudiantes 2 - 1 Win
Aug 16, 26 Home Gimnasia Y Tiro 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 10, 26 Away All Boys 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 2, 26 Home Los Andes 1 - 0 Win
Jul 26, 26 Away Godoy Cruz 2 - 1 Loss

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
17 Ciudad de Bolívar 26 8 11 7 22 23 -1 35
31 Central Norte 25 6 9 10 17 25 -8 27

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 60.96% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Ciudad de Bolívar to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Ciudad de Bolívar has a 41.02% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.67 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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