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Primera Nacional

May 31, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
1 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Ciudad de Bolívar San Miguel
Ciudad de Bolívar W W W L W W
San Miguel W L D D L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Ciudad de Bolívar Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 23, 26 Away San Telmo 0 - 1 Win
May 16, 26 Home Acassuso 1 - 0 Win
May 10, 26 Away Chaco For Ever 0 - 1 Win
May 3, 26 Home Ferro Carril Oeste 2 - 4 Loss
Apr 26, 26 Away Central Norte 0 - 1 Win
Apr 18, 26 Home Deportivo Madryn 1 - 0 Win

San Miguel Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 23, 26 Home Almirante Brown 1 - 0 Win
May 17, 26 Away Atletico Mitre 4 - 0 Loss
May 9, 26 Home CA Estudiantes 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 30, 26 Away All Boys 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 25, 26 Home Los Andes 0 - 2 Loss
Apr 18, 26 Away Godoy Cruz 0 - 0 Draw

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Ciudad de Bolívar 14 6 7 1 12 7 +5 25
21 San Miguel 14 4 6 4 11 16 -5 18

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 65.55% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Ciudad de Bolívar will score 0 goals, and San Miguel will score 0 goals in the football match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 70.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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