Primera C
Match Analysis
Claypole
Mercedes
Claypole
L
L
L
D
D
L
Mercedes
L
D
W
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a draw between Claypole and Mercedes with a 37% probability. The draw prediction aligns roughly with the market odds, which also see the draw as a plausible outcome. The context shows that Mercedes has a modest quality edge and comes in with a rest advantage, while Claypole has poor recent form and has historically dominated meetings with low-scoring tendencies. These factors contribute to the model's view that a draw is the most likely result.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercedes | Claypole | 0 - 0 | April 18, 2026 |
| Claypole | Mercedes | 2 - 0 | July 22, 2025 |
| Mercedes | Claypole | 0 - 1 | April 5, 2025 |
| Mercedes | Claypole | 0 - 1 | November 11, 2024 |
| Claypole | Mercedes | 1 - 0 | June 10, 2024 |
Claypole Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 26 | Away | Sportivo Barracas | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 4, 26 | Home | Juventud Unida | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Lujan | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | General Lamadrid | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 13, 26 | Home | Leones de Rosario | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | Atletico Atlas | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Mercedes Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Argentino Rosario | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Estrella Del Sur | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Berazategui | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | El Porvenir | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | Victoriano Arenas | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 6, 26 | Away | Centro Español | 0 - 3 | Win |
Primera C Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mercedes | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 14 | +9 | 33 |
| 25 | Claypole | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 22 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 60.56% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Claypole will score 0 goals, and Mercedes will score 0 goals in the football match.Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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