Primera Nacional
Match Analysis
Club Atlético Güemes
Tristan Suarez
Club Atlético Güemes
L
L
L
L
L
W
Tristan Suarez
W
W
L
D
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, matches between Club Atlético Güemes and Tristan Suarez have often ended in draws, and goals have been scarce in these encounters. The model predicts an away win with a 48% probability, reflecting Tristan Suarez's clear quality advantage and stronger recent form compared to Güemes. The market odds suggest a slightly less confident view of an away win, placing them higher than the model's assessment. Additionally, the model sees a lower chance of goals, aligning with past trends where matches between these teams have usually stayed under 2.5 goals.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Suarez | Club Atlético Güemes | 1 - 1 | March 14, 2026 |
| Tristan Suarez | Club Atlético Güemes | 0 - 0 | July 12, 2025 |
| Club Atlético Güemes | Tristan Suarez | 0 - 1 | March 8, 2025 |
| Tristan Suarez | Club Atlético Güemes | 1 - 1 | July 27, 2024 |
| Club Atlético Güemes | Tristan Suarez | 2 - 2 | March 10, 2024 |
| Club Atlético Güemes | Tristan Suarez | 0 - 0 | August 23, 2022 |
Club Atlético Güemes Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Gimnasia Jujuy | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | San Martin S.J. | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Nueva Chicago | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 21, 26 | Home | Gimnasia Jujuy | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jun 14, 26 | Away | Temperley | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 7, 26 | Home | Deportivo Maipu | 1 - 0 | Win |
Tristan Suarez Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Chacarita Juniors | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Nueva Chicago | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Temperley | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 21, 26 | Away | Chacarita Juniors | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 14, 26 | Away | Deportivo Maipu | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 6, 26 | Home | Almagro | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Primera Nacional Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tristan Suarez | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 11 | +7 | 36 |
| 36 | Club Atlético Güemes | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 19 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 63.04% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Tristan Suarez to win
This prediction indicates that Tristan Suarez has a 48.38% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.75 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 70.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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