Club Nacional vs Boston River Monday 10th August 2026 12:30 AM football predictions.

Primera División - Apertura

Aug. 10, 2026 3 days, 19 hours from now VS

Club Nacional Boston River

Club Nacional W W L L D W

Boston River L L D D L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Boston River	Club Nacional	1 - 2	February 8, 2026
Club Nacional	Boston River	0 - 0	August 23, 2025
Club Nacional	Boston River	2 - 1	June 8, 2025
Boston River	Club Nacional	2 - 3	February 22, 2025
Club Nacional	Boston River	3 - 1	December 1, 2024
Club Nacional	Boston River	1 - 0	July 28, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 2, 26	Home	Progreso	2 - 1	Win
Jul 28, 26	Away	Tigre	1 - 2	Win
Jul 21, 26	Home	Tigre	0 - 3	Loss
Jul 17, 26	Home	Wanderers	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	Danubio	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 6, 26	Home	Juventud	2 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 2, 26	Away	Racing Montevideo	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Penarol	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 12, 26	Home	Central Espanol	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 7, 26	Away	Defensor Sporting	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 1, 26	Home	Liverpool Montevideo	0 - 1	Loss
May 26, 26	Away	Sao Paulo	2 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Club Nacional	22	11	2	9	34	29	+5	35
14	Boston River	22	6	4	12	19	30	-11	22

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.59% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Club Nacional has a 60.57% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.30 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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