Primera División - Apertura
Match Analysis
Club Nacional
Juventud
Club Nacional
W
L
L
W
W
L
Juventud
W
L
D
D
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Club Nacional | Juventud | 2 - 1 | June 6, 2026 |
| Juventud | Club Nacional | 3 - 1 | March 8, 2026 |
| Juventud | Club Nacional | 0 - 0 | September 28, 2025 |
| Club Nacional | Juventud | 4 - 1 | June 18, 2025 |
| Club Nacional | Juventud | 1 - 2 | March 30, 2025 |
| Juventud | Club Nacional | 0 - 3 | December 5, 2019 |
Club Nacional Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Progreso | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Racing Montevideo | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Boston River | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Progreso | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 28, 26 | Away | Tigre | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Tigre | 0 - 3 | Loss |
Juventud Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Central Espanol | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Atletico Torque | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Cerro Largo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Deportivo Maldonado | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Albion FC | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Atletico Torque | 1 - 3 | Loss |
Primera División - Apertura Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Club Nacional | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 33 | +2 | 35 |
| 13 | Juventud | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 27 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.91% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Club Nacional to win
This prediction indicates that Club Nacional has a 51.16% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.68 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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