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Primera División - Apertura logo

Primera División - Apertura

July 18, 2026 1 week, 5 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Club Nacional Wanderers
Club Nacional W L W W D W
Wanderers D W D D W L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Club Nacional Wanderers 2 - 0 March 13, 2026
Wanderers Club Nacional 0 - 0 October 26, 2025
Club Nacional Wanderers 3 - 1 April 26, 2025
Wanderers Club Nacional 0 - 2 September 15, 2024
Club Nacional Wanderers 3 - 0 March 2, 2024
Club Nacional Wanderers 3 - 1 November 26, 2023

Club Nacional Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 6, 26 Home Juventud 2 - 1 Win
May 31, 26 Away Deportivo Maldonado 3 - 0 Loss
May 27, 26 Home Coquimbo Unido 1 - 0 Win
May 23, 26 Home Albion FC 1 - 0 Win
May 20, 26 Home Universitario 0 - 0 Draw
May 15, 26 Away Atletico Torque 1 - 2 Win

Wanderers Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 5, 26 Home Danubio 0 - 0 Draw
May 31, 26 Away Juventud 2 - 5 Win
May 24, 26 Home Deportivo Maldonado 1 - 1 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Albion FC 0 - 0 Draw
May 8, 26 Home Liverpool Montevideo 1 - 0 Win
May 2, 26 Away Juventud 2 - 1 Loss

Primera División - Apertura Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Club Nacional 19 10 1 8 31 26 +5 31
8 Wanderers 19 7 5 7 22 24 -2 26

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.52% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Club Nacional to win
This prediction indicates that Club Nacional has a 51.66% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.52 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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