Cobán Imperial vs Aurora Sunday 27th September 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Liga Nacional

Sept. 27, 2026 4 days, 9 hours from now VS

Cobán Imperial Aurora

Cobán Imperial D D D L L L

Aurora W L L L W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Cobán Imperial	Aurora	0 - 0	April 1, 2026
Aurora	Cobán Imperial	1 - 0	February 15, 2026
Cobán Imperial	Aurora	2 - 0	November 2, 2025
Aurora	Cobán Imperial	1 - 1	August 24, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 20, 26	Away	Deportivo San Pedro	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 13, 26	Home	Comunicaciones	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 11, 26	Away	Xelajú	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 6, 26	Home	Guastatoya	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Away	Suchitepéquez	3 - 2	Loss
Aug 24, 26	Away	Marquense	2 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Home	Marquense	1 - 0	Win
Sep 13, 26	Away	Mixco	3 - 2	Loss
Sep 10, 26	Home	Municipal	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Away	Antigua GFC	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 30, 26	Home	Malacateco	1 - 0	Win
Aug 22, 26	Home	Suchitepéquez	3 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Aurora	10	4	0	6	14	16	-2	12
11	Cobán Imperial	10	1	4	5	10	16	-6	7

This prediction indicates that Cobán Imperial has a 45.8% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.85 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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