Cobreloa vs San Marcos de Arica Tuesday 01st September 2026 03:00 AM football predictions.

Primera B

Sept. 1, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Cobreloa San Marcos de Arica

Cobreloa W D D D W D

San Marcos de Arica L L D D W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
San Marcos de Arica	Cobreloa	2 - 1	April 18, 2026
Cobreloa	San Marcos de Arica	3 - 1	November 30, 2025
San Marcos de Arica	Cobreloa	2 - 1	November 26, 2025
Cobreloa	San Marcos de Arica	2 - 0	July 19, 2025
San Marcos de Arica	Cobreloa	1 - 1	March 1, 2025
San Marcos de Arica	Cobreloa	2 - 1	June 18, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 16, 26	Away	Union San Felipe	0 - 1	Win
Aug 12, 26	Away	Magallanes	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 8, 26	Home	Deportes Iquique	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 1, 26	Away	Curico Unido	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 25, 26	Home	Deportes Santa Cruz	4 - 2	Win
Jun 6, 26	Away	D. Puerto Montt	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 16, 26	Away	Union Espanola	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 13, 26	Home	Union San Felipe	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Away	Santiago Wanderers	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 1, 26	Home	Deportes Iquique	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 26, 26	Home	Magallanes	2 - 0	Win
Jun 6, 26	Away	San Luis	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Cobreloa	20	10	8	2	38	22	+16	38
7	San Marcos de Arica	20	7	9	4	24	16	+8	30

This prediction indicates that Cobreloa has a 46.35% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.22 %

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