Segunda División logo

Segunda División

Aug. 17, 2026 1 day, 2 hours ago
2 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Colón La Luz
Colón W L L W W D
La Luz D L W W L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
La Luz Colón 0 - 0 May 9, 2026
La Luz Colón 0 - 1 August 10, 2025
Colón La Luz 1 - 0 May 17, 2025
Colón La Luz 1 - 1 April 13, 2025
Colón La Luz 5 - 0 November 16, 2024
La Luz Colón 0 - 1 July 27, 2024

Colón Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Home Cerrito 1 - 0 Win
Aug 3, 26 Away Atenas 4 - 1 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Paysandu 2 - 3 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away Sportivo Huracan 0 - 2 Win
Jul 5, 26 Home Uruguay Montevideo 1 - 0 Win
Jun 28, 26 Away Oriental 1 - 1 Draw

La Luz Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Away Fenix 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Home Rentistas 2 - 5 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Away Miramar 0 - 1 Win
Jul 13, 26 Home Tacuarembo 2 - 0 Win
Jul 4, 26 Away Plaza Colonia 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 28, 26 Away CA River Plate 0 - 0 Draw

Segunda División Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
8 Colón 19 7 6 6 22 21 +1 27
11 La Luz 19 5 9 5 16 19 -3 24

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.63% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Colón to win
This prediction indicates that Colón has a 48.0% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.43 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans
Odds Comparison
Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]
This comment has been removed
[[ comment.user.username ]]
[[ comment.comment ]]