Colón vs Uruguay Montevideo Monday 06th July 2026 02:00 AM football predictions.

Colón Uruguay Montevideo

Colón D W D W L L

Uruguay Montevideo W L L L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Uruguay Montevideo	Colón	0 - 1	September 27, 2025
Colón	Uruguay Montevideo	5 - 1	July 5, 2025
Uruguay Montevideo	Colón	0 - 1	November 10, 2024
Colón	Uruguay Montevideo	0 - 0	July 22, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 28, 26	Away	Oriental	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Home	CA River Plate	2 - 1	Win
Jun 13, 26	Home	Fenix	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 7, 26	Away	Rentistas	0 - 2	Win
May 30, 26	Home	Miramar	1 - 3	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	Tacuarembo	2 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Fenix	3 - 2	Win
Jun 21, 26	Away	Rentistas	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Home	Miramar	1 - 3	Loss
Jun 7, 26	Away	Tacuarembo	1 - 0	Loss
May 30, 26	Home	Plaza Colonia	2 - 0	Win
May 24, 26	Away	La Luz	2 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Colón	13	4	5	4	14	13	+1	17
10	Uruguay Montevideo	14	4	4	6	16	18	-2	16

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.23% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Colón has a 40.07% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 38.36 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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