EFL Trophy
Match Analysis
Colchester
Luton
Colchester
D
L
L
L
D
L
Luton
W
W
L
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester | Luton | 2 - 1 | March 30, 2018 |
| Luton | Colchester | 3 - 0 | August 19, 2017 |
| Colchester | Luton | 2 - 1 | March 25, 2017 |
| Luton | Colchester | 0 - 1 | December 26, 2016 |
Colchester Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Accrington ST | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Southampton | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Stevenage | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Charlton | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | West Ham United U21 | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Peterborough | 2 - 3 | Loss |
Luton Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Reading | 3 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Gillingham | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | GO Ahead Eagles | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Al Kholood | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Barnet | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Hitchin Town | 0 - 5 | Win |
Predictions
Luton to win
This prediction indicates that Luton has a 41.48% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.93 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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