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USL Championship

June 14, 2026 2 weeks, 2 days ago
0 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Colorado Springs Sacramento Republic
Colorado Springs W L D D W D
Sacramento Republic L L W D D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Colorado Springs Sacramento Republic 1 - 0 February 28, 2026
Colorado Springs Sacramento Republic 0 - 2 September 21, 2025
Sacramento Republic Colorado Springs 2 - 2 March 23, 2025
Sacramento Republic Colorado Springs 0 - 1 October 27, 2024
Colorado Springs Sacramento Republic 0 - 2 April 7, 2024
Colorado Springs Sacramento Republic 2 - 0 September 24, 2023

Colorado Springs Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Away Oakland Roots 0 - 1 Win
May 24, 26 Away Las Vegas Lights 2 - 0 Loss
May 9, 26 Home Orange County SC 2 - 2 Draw
May 3, 26 Away San Antonio 3 - 3 Draw
Apr 18, 26 Home Monterey Bay 4 - 1 Win
Apr 4, 26 Home Lexington 1 - 1 Draw

Sacramento Republic Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Away Phoenix Rising 2 - 0 Loss
May 24, 26 Away San Antonio 2 - 1 Loss
May 3, 26 Home Orange County SC 3 - 2 Win
Apr 21, 26 Away Brooklyn 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 12, 26 Away Las Vegas Lights 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 5, 26 Home Phoenix Rising 2 - 0 Win

USL Championship Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
18 Colorado Springs 10 3 4 3 18 17 +1 13
19 Sacramento Republic 10 3 4 3 12 11 +1 13

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.32% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Sacramento Republic to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Sacramento Republic has a 39.83% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.01 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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