Comoros vs Senegal Sunday 04th October 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Friendlies

Oct. 4, 2026 1 week, 5 days from now VS

Comoros Senegal

Comoros W L D D L W

Senegal D W L L D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 9, 26	Away	Equatorial Guinea	0 - 1	Win
Jun 6, 26	Away	Morocco U23	2 - 1	Loss
Dec 29, 25	Home	Mali	0 - 0	Draw
Dec 26, 25	Away	Zambia	0 - 0	Draw
Dec 21, 25	Away	Morocco	2 - 0	Loss
Nov 17, 25	Home	Namibia	4 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 1, 26	Away	Belgium	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 26, 26	Home	Iraq	5 - 0	Win
Jun 23, 26	Away	Norway	3 - 2	Loss
Jun 16, 26	Away	France	3 - 1	Loss
Jun 9, 26	Away	Saudi Arabia	0 - 0	Draw
May 31, 26	Away	USA	3 - 2	Loss

This prediction indicates that Senegal has a 48.73% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.67 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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