Cook Islands vs Tahiti Thursday 01st October 2026 05:00 AM football predictions.

Friendlies

Oct. 1, 2026 1 week, 5 days from now VS

Cook Islands Tahiti

Cook Islands L L

Tahiti W W W L D W

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Tahiti	Cook Islands	3 - 0	September 1, 2023
Tahiti	Cook Islands	9 - 1	August 29, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 1, 23	Away	Tahiti	3 - 0	Loss
Aug 29, 23	Away	Tahiti	9 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 1, 23	Home	Cook Islands	3 - 0	Win
Aug 29, 23	Home	Cook Islands	9 - 1	Win
Mar 24, 23	Home	New Caledonia	2 - 1	Win
Mar 21, 23	Home	New Caledonia	0 - 2	Loss
Jun 6, 19	Away	Fiji	1 - 1	Draw
Mar 24, 18	Home	New Caledonia	4 - 3	Win

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.97% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Tahiti has a 47.14% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.82 %

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