Coritiba vs Palmeiras Thursday 23rd July 2026 01:30 AM football predictions.

Coritiba Palmeiras

Coritiba L W W D L L

Palmeiras W W W L D D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Coritiba	Palmeiras	0 - 2	October 22, 2023
Palmeiras	Coritiba	3 - 1	June 4, 2023
Palmeiras	Coritiba	4 - 0	October 6, 2022
Coritiba	Palmeiras	0 - 2	June 12, 2022
Coritiba	Palmeiras	1 - 0	February 17, 2021
Palmeiras	Coritiba	1 - 3	October 14, 2020

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 30, 26	Away	Flamengo	3 - 0	Loss
May 25, 26	Home	Bahia	3 - 2	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Santos	0 - 3	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Internacional	2 - 2	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Vitoria	4 - 1	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Away	Gremio	1 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 31, 26	Home	Chapecoense-sc	1 - 0	Win
May 28, 26	Home	Junior	4 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Flamengo	0 - 3	Win
May 21, 26	Home	Cerro Porteno	0 - 1	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Cruzeiro	1 - 1	Draw
May 10, 26	Away	remo	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras	17	11	5	1	29	13	+16	38
7	Coritiba	18	7	5	6	24	24	0	26

This prediction indicates that Palmeiras has a 50.18% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.02 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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