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Serie D logo

Serie D

June 21, 2026 1 week, 1 day ago
1 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

CRAC Tombense
CRAC D L D W D W
Tombense D W D W D D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

CRAC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 14, 26 Home Ivinhema 1 - 1 Draw
May 31, 26 Away Operario Ferroviario 2 - 0 Loss
May 24, 26 Home Uberlandia 0 - 0 Draw
May 17, 26 Home ABECAT Ouvidorense 2 - 1 Win
May 9, 26 Away Ipatinga 0 - 0 Draw
May 3, 26 Home Ipatinga 1 - 0 Win

Tombense Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 14, 26 Home Vitória ES 0 - 0 Draw
May 30, 26 Away Porto BA 1 - 3 Win
May 23, 26 Home Real Noroeste 1 - 1 Draw
May 16, 26 Home Democrata GV 3 - 1 Win
May 10, 26 Away Rio Branco ES 2 - 2 Draw
May 3, 26 Home Rio Branco ES 0 - 0 Draw

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
25 Tombense 10 4 5 1 13 6 +7 17
53 CRAC 10 3 4 3 7 7 0 13

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 60.21% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that CRAC will score 0 goals, and Tombense will score 0 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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