Crawley Town vs Milton Keynes Dons Wednesday 02nd September 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

EFL Trophy

Sept. 2, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Crawley Town Milton Keynes Dons

Crawley Town L L W L L W

Milton Keynes Dons D L W L L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Milton Keynes Dons	Crawley Town	0 - 0	February 17, 2026
Crawley Town	Milton Keynes Dons	1 - 1	August 19, 2025
Milton Keynes Dons	Crawley Town	1 - 5	May 11, 2024
Crawley Town	Milton Keynes Dons	3 - 0	May 7, 2024
Milton Keynes Dons	Crawley Town	2 - 0	December 29, 2023
Crawley Town	Milton Keynes Dons	2 - 1	August 15, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 15, 26	Home	Crewe	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Away	Watford	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 3, 26	Away	York	0 - 2	Win
Jul 31, 26	Home	Reading	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 28, 26	Away	Oxford United	3 - 1	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Away	Eastleigh	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 15, 26	Away	Oxford United	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 8, 26	Away	Norwich	4 - 1	Loss
Aug 1, 26	Away	Cheltenham	0 - 2	Win
Jul 25, 26	Away	Wealdstone	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 17, 26	Away	Istra 1961	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 10, 26	Away	Maidenhead	1 - 4	Win

This prediction indicates that Crawley Town has a 38.11% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.50 %

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