Criciuma vs Ceara Tuesday 16th June 2026 03:00 AM football predictions.

Criciuma Ceara

Criciuma W W D D D D

Ceara W L L W L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Ceara	Criciuma	1 - 0	September 2, 2023
Criciuma	Ceara	1 - 2	May 21, 2023
Criciuma	Ceara	1 - 1	November 18, 2017
Ceara	Criciuma	3 - 1	August 2, 2017
Criciuma	Ceara	2 - 3	November 8, 2016
Ceara	Criciuma	1 - 0	July 16, 2016

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 6, 26	Home	Londrina	1 - 0	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Avai	1 - 2	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Operario-PR	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	Atletico Goianiense	1 - 1	Draw
May 10, 26	Away	Juventude	0 - 0	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Cuiaba	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 10, 26	Home	Avai	2 - 1	Win
May 31, 26	Home	Operario-PR	1 - 2	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	Novorizontino	2 - 1	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Fortaleza EC	2 - 1	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Atletico Goianiense	0 - 1	Loss
May 7, 26	Away	Vitoria	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	Criciuma	12	5	5	2	14	10	+4	20
14	Ceara	12	4	4	4	14	14	0	16

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.38% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Criciuma has a 40.61% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.49 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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