Criciuma vs Fortaleza EC Monday 24th August 2026 12:30 AM football predictions.

Serie B

Aug. 24, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Criciuma Fortaleza EC

Criciuma L D W W W W

Fortaleza EC D W L W L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Fortaleza EC	Criciuma	3 - 2	April 19, 2026
Fortaleza EC	Criciuma	1 - 0	August 10, 2024
Criciuma	Fortaleza EC	1 - 1	July 24, 2024
Criciuma	Fortaleza EC	2 - 0	September 8, 2018
Fortaleza EC	Criciuma	2 - 0	May 23, 2018

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 9, 26	Away	Athletic Club	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 26, 26	Home	Nautico Recife	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 21, 26	Away	Novorizontino	0 - 1	Win
Jul 18, 26	Home	Vila Nova	2 - 0	Win
Jul 8, 26	Away	Ponte Preta	1 - 2	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	Sport Recife	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 9, 26	Away	Cuiaba	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 29, 26	Home	Botafogo SP	1 - 0	Win
Jul 22, 26	Away	Vila Nova	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Novorizontino	1 - 0	Win
Jul 12, 26	Away	Atletico Goianiense	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 3, 26	Home	Ponte Preta	2 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Criciuma	20	11	7	2	23	12	+11	40
4	Fortaleza EC	20	10	4	6	23	19	+4	34

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.83% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Criciuma has a 49.81% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.86 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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