UEFA Nations League
Match Analysis
Croatia
England
Croatia
L
W
W
L
W
L
England
W
L
D
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| England | Croatia | 4 - 2 | June 17, 2026 |
| England | Croatia | 1 - 0 | June 13, 2021 |
| England | Croatia | 2 - 1 | November 18, 2018 |
| Croatia | England | 0 - 0 | October 12, 2018 |
| Croatia | England | 1 - 1 | July 11, 2018 |
Croatia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 26 | Away | Portugal | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | Ghana | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 23, 26 | Away | Panama | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 17, 26 | Away | England | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 7, 26 | Home | Slovenia | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 2, 26 | Home | Belgium | 0 - 2 | Loss |
England Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | France | 4 - 6 | Win |
| Jul 15, 26 | Home | Argentina | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Norway | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 6, 26 | Away | Mexico | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 1, 26 | Home | Congo DR | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Panama | 0 - 2 | Win |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.13% likelihood that both Croatia and England will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Croatia or England to win
This prediction indicates that England has a 38.62% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.80 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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