Serie C - Girone C
Match Analysis
Crotone
Foggia
Crotone
D
D
L
W
W
L
Foggia
L
L
D
L
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crotone | Foggia | 3 - 1 | February 22, 2026 |
| Foggia | Crotone | 0 - 3 | October 11, 2025 |
| Crotone | Foggia | 3 - 2 | April 14, 2025 |
| Foggia | Crotone | 1 - 1 | November 30, 2024 |
| Foggia | Crotone | 2 - 1 | February 26, 2024 |
| Crotone | Foggia | 2 - 1 | October 21, 2023 |
Crotone Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 26 | Away | Casertana | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 3, 26 | Home | Audace Cerignola | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Apr 26, 26 | Home | Latina | 2 - 5 | Loss |
| Apr 19, 26 | Away | Casarano | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Apr 13, 26 | Home | Catania | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Apr 6, 26 | Away | Giugliano | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Foggia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 26 | Home | Salernitana | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Apr 19, 26 | Away | SS Monopoli | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Apr 12, 26 | Home | Siracusa | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Apr 4, 26 | Away | Nuova Cosenza | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Mar 29, 26 | Home | Trapani 1905 | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Mar 22, 26 | Away | Cavese | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Serie C - Girone C Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | Foggia | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| None | Crotone | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.93% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Crotone to win
This prediction indicates that Crotone has a 69.9% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 15.41 %Most Likely Scorelines
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