Crusaders FC vs Ballymena United Saturday 15th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Crusaders FC Ballymena United

Crusaders FC D L W D W W

Ballymena United W W D W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Crusaders FC	Ballymena United	3 - 2	April 25, 2026
Ballymena United	Crusaders FC	2 - 0	February 17, 2026
Ballymena United	Crusaders FC	2 - 2	November 22, 2025
Crusaders FC	Ballymena United	1 - 1	September 20, 2025
Crusaders FC	Ballymena United	3 - 1	February 15, 2025
Crusaders FC	Ballymena United	1 - 0	October 26, 2024

Crusaders FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Home	Newington Youth	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 25, 26	Away	Moyola Park	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 21, 26	Home	Glenavon FC	2 - 0	Win
Jul 18, 26	Home	Ballinamallard United	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Home	Warrenpoint Town	2 - 0	Win
Jul 4, 26	Away	Queen of the South	1 - 2	Win

Ballymena United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Portstewart	1 - 5	Win
Jul 24, 26	Away	Carrick Rangers	0 - 3	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	Queen's University	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Away	Dundela	2 - 3	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	Ballyclare Comrades	0 - 2	Win
Jul 10, 26	Away	Moyola Park	1 - 3	Win

Premiership Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Ballymena United	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Crusaders FC	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.9% likelihood that both Crusaders FC and Ballymena United will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Crusaders FC or Ballymena United to win

This prediction indicates that Ballymena United has a 40.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.24 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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