Liga MX
Match Analysis
Cruz Azul
Toluca
Cruz Azul
W
W
L
L
L
W
Toluca
W
W
D
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | Cruz Azul | 1 - 1 | February 7, 2026 |
| Cruz Azul | Toluca | 1 - 0 | August 24, 2025 |
| Toluca | Cruz Azul | 2 - 2 | April 20, 2025 |
| Cruz Azul | Toluca | 1 - 1 | July 21, 2024 |
| Toluca | Cruz Azul | 0 - 1 | April 28, 2024 |
| Cruz Azul | Toluca | 0 - 2 | July 8, 2023 |
Cruz Azul Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Santos Laguna | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Necaxa | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Atlas | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 17, 26 | Away | Club Tijuana | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Atlante FC | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | Puebla | 2 - 1 | Win |
Toluca Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 26 | Home | FC Juarez | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Club Queretaro | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Atlante FC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 3, 26 | Home | Necaxa | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | Guadalajara Chivas | 0 - 2 | Win |
Liga MX Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 13 |
| 6 | Cruz Azul | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 12 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.05% likelihood that both Cruz Azul and Toluca will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Cruz Azul or Toluca to win
This prediction indicates that Cruz Azul has a 39.97% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.92 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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