CSKA Moscow vs Fakel Saturday 15th August 2026 04:15 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

CSKA Moscow Fakel

CSKA Moscow W L L L D D

Fakel L L D W W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
CSKA Moscow	Fakel	1 - 1	February 17, 2025
Fakel	CSKA Moscow	0 - 1	December 8, 2024
CSKA Moscow	Fakel	0 - 0	October 26, 2024
CSKA Moscow	Fakel	4 - 1	April 7, 2024
CSKA Moscow	Fakel	1 - 0	February 5, 2024
Fakel	CSKA Moscow	1 - 1	November 11, 2023

CSKA Moscow Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 24, 26	Home	Baltika	2 - 1	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	Dynamo	5 - 2	Loss
Jul 14, 26	Away	Lokomotiv	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	FC Orenburg	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	Arsenal Tula	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 30, 26	Home	Shinnik Yaroslavl	1 - 1	Draw

Fakel Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Makhachkala	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 15, 26	Away	FC Rostov	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	Akron	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 7, 26	Home	FC Rostov	3 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Volga Ulyanovsk	0 - 3	Win
May 8, 26	Home	Ska-khabarovsk	0 - 0	Draw

Premier League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	CSKA Moscow	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
11	Fakel	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.26% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

CSKA Moscow to win

This prediction indicates that CSKA Moscow has a 67.84% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.13 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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