First League
Match Analysis
CSKA Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
CSKA Sofia
L
L
W
L
W
W
Arda Kardzhali
W
W
W
L
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Sofia | Arda Kardzhali | 3 - 1 | February 6, 2026 |
| Arda Kardzhali | CSKA Sofia | 1 - 0 | September 18, 2025 |
| Arda Kardzhali | CSKA Sofia | 1 - 1 | May 31, 2025 |
| CSKA Sofia | Arda Kardzhali | 2 - 0 | February 16, 2025 |
| Arda Kardzhali | CSKA Sofia | 2 - 1 | August 24, 2024 |
| Arda Kardzhali | CSKA Sofia | 2 - 3 | April 21, 2024 |
CSKA Sofia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 26 | Home | OFI | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | OFI | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Botev Vratsa | 5 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 13, 26 | Home | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Septemvri Sofia | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 6, 26 | Away | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 0 - 3 | Win |
Arda Kardzhali Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 26 | Away | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 17, 26 | Home | Lokomotiv Sofia | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Dunav Ruse | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | CSKA 1948 | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Slavia Sofia | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Septemvri Sofia | 1 - 1 | Draw |
First League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | CSKA Sofia | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 3 | +10 | 13 |
| 5 | Arda Kardzhali | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 13 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.58% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.CSKA Sofia to win
This prediction indicates that CSKA Sofia has a 53.53% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.19 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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