CSKA Sofia vs Dunav Ruse Sunday 02nd August 2026 09:15 PM football predictions.

CSKA Sofia Dunav Ruse

CSKA Sofia W W W W L W

Dunav Ruse L D D D L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
CSKA Sofia	Dunav Ruse	3 - 1	January 31, 2026
CSKA Sofia	Dunav Ruse	4 - 0	December 14, 2019
Dunav Ruse	CSKA Sofia	1 - 1	August 25, 2019
Dunav Ruse	CSKA Sofia	0 - 2	November 24, 2018
CSKA Sofia	Dunav Ruse	3 - 0	August 5, 2018

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 16, 26	Away	Derry City	1 - 2	Win
Jul 9, 26	Home	Derry City	3 - 2	Win
Jul 3, 26	Home	Marek	3 - 0	Win
Jun 28, 26	Away	Odra Opole	2 - 3	Win
Jun 24, 26	Home	Polessya	0 - 4	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Away	Brinje-Grosuplje	1 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 17, 26	Away	Levski Sofia	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	Cherno More Varna	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 1, 26	Home	Dobrudzha	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 27, 26	Away	Spartak Varna	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Home	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	1 - 2	Loss
Jan 31, 26	Away	CSKA Sofia	3 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Dunav Ruse	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.54% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that CSKA Sofia has a 70.14% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.36 %

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