CSKA Sofia vs Marek Friday 03rd July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

CSKA Sofia Marek

CSKA Sofia L W L L D W

Marek L D D D W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 24, 26	Home	Polessya	0 - 4	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Away	Brinje-Grosuplje	1 - 2	Win
May 25, 26	Away	Ludogorets	1 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Levski Sofia	2 - 0	Loss
May 13, 26	Home	CSKA 1948	1 - 1	Draw
May 8, 26	Away	CSKA 1948	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Septemvri Sofia	3 - 0	Loss
Jan 31, 26	Away	Slavia Sofia	2 - 2	Draw
Jan 28, 26	Away	Sportist Svoge	3 - 3	Draw
Jan 17, 26	Away	Botev Vratsa	2 - 2	Draw
Jan 14, 26	Away	Septemvri Sofia	1 - 3	Win
May 30, 25	Away	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	3 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
319	CSKA Sofia	7	3	1	3	11	12	-1	10
705	Marek	5	1	3	1	10	11	-1	6

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.17% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that CSKA Sofia has a 48.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.86 %

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