UEFA Europa League
Match Analysis
CSKA Sofia
Qarabag
CSKA Sofia
W
W
W
W
L
W
Qarabag
W
W
W
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Sofia | Qarabag | 0 - 1 | July 4, 2023 |
| CSKA Sofia | Qarabag | 0 - 1 | July 7, 2021 |
CSKA Sofia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 26 | Away | Derry City | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 9, 26 | Home | Derry City | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 3, 26 | Home | Marek | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 28, 26 | Away | Odra Opole | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Jun 24, 26 | Home | Polessya | 0 - 4 | Loss |
| Jun 20, 26 | Away | Brinje-Grosuplje | 1 - 2 | Win |
Qarabag Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 26 | Away | Vestri | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 9, 26 | Home | Vestri | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 1, 26 | Home | Ferencvarosi TC | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 1, 26 | Home | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 2 - 6 | Loss |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | WSG Wattens | 0 - 4 | Win |
| Feb 24, 26 | Away | Newcastle | 3 - 2 | Loss |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.05% likelihood that both CSKA Sofia and Qarabag will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.CSKA Sofia to win
This prediction indicates that CSKA Sofia has a 51.69% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.04 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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