Curico Unido vs Concepción Thursday 24th September 2026 12:00 AM football predictions.

Copa Chile

Sept. 24, 2026 VS

Curico Unido Concepción

Curico Unido L W L D W L

Concepción D L W D W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Concepción	Curico Unido	0 - 0	August 10, 2025
Curico Unido	Concepción	2 - 3	March 30, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 13, 26	Away	San Marcos de Arica	3 - 0	Loss
Sep 8, 26	Home	Union Espanola	2 - 1	Win
Sep 5, 26	Away	D. Puerto Montt	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 30, 26	Home	Recoleta	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 23, 26	Home	Union San Felipe	2 - 0	Win
Aug 17, 26	Away	Deportes Copiapo	4 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 13, 26	Away	Colo Colo	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 5, 26	Home	A. Italiano	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 30, 26	Away	Nublense	0 - 1	Win
Aug 23, 26	Home	Coquimbo Unido	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 16, 26	Away	Cobresal	0 - 2	Win
Aug 9, 26	Home	Universidad de Concepcion	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Concepción	6	4	1	1	10	6	+4	13
13	Curico Unido	6	3	2	1	10	7	+3	11

This prediction indicates that Concepción has a 42.23% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.47 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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