Curico Unido vs Deportes Santa Cruz Friday 14th August 2026 03:30 AM football predictions.

Curico Unido Deportes Santa Cruz

Curico Unido L W W D L D

Deportes Santa Cruz L W D D L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Deportes Santa Cruz	Curico Unido	4 - 2	March 21, 2026
Deportes Santa Cruz	Curico Unido	2 - 0	August 24, 2025
Curico Unido	Deportes Santa Cruz	2 - 3	April 18, 2025
Deportes Santa Cruz	Curico Unido	1 - 0	July 27, 2024
Curico Unido	Deportes Santa Cruz	1 - 2	March 8, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	San Luis	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 8, 26	Away	Deportes Temuco	0 - 1	Win
Jun 1, 26	Home	Antofagasta	1 - 0	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Deportes Iquique	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	Santiago Wanderers	0 - 3	Loss
May 12, 26	Home	San Marcos de Arica	2 - 2	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Cobreloa	4 - 2	Loss
Jun 7, 26	Away	Rangers de Talca	0 - 1	Win
Jun 1, 26	Home	Deportes Copiapo	1 - 1	Draw
May 24, 26	Away	Antofagasta	1 - 1	Draw
May 18, 26	Home	Deportes Temuco	2 - 3	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	Recoleta	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
12	Curico Unido	16	4	6	6	17	26	-9	18
15	Deportes Santa Cruz	16	2	6	8	21	30	-9	12

This prediction indicates that Curico Unido has a 46.03% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.11 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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