Džiugas Telšiai vs Suduva Marijampole Monday 17th August 2026 07:15 PM football predictions.

Džiugas Telšiai Suduva Marijampole

Džiugas Telšiai D L W D D L

Suduva Marijampole W D W W W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Džiugas Telšiai	Suduva Marijampole	1 - 2	June 21, 2026
Suduva Marijampole	Džiugas Telšiai	3 - 2	April 19, 2026
Džiugas Telšiai	Suduva Marijampole	0 - 0	October 18, 2025
Suduva Marijampole	Džiugas Telšiai	2 - 3	July 27, 2025
Džiugas Telšiai	Suduva Marijampole	1 - 1	May 25, 2025
Suduva Marijampole	Džiugas Telšiai	1 - 0	March 28, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 3, 26	Away	Panevėžys	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 26, 26	Away	TransINVEST Vilnius	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 19, 26	Home	Banga	1 - 0	Win
Jul 3, 26	Home	Kauno Žalgiris	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 28, 26	Home	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Home	Suduva Marijampole	1 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 20, 26	Home	Hegelmann Litauen	5 - 1	Win
Jul 6, 26	Home	TransINVEST Vilnius	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 29, 26	Away	Panevėžys	1 - 2	Win
Jun 21, 26	Away	Džiugas Telšiai	1 - 2	Win
Jun 16, 26	Home	Šiauliai	2 - 1	Win
Jun 13, 26	Home	Banga	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Suduva Marijampole	22	10	9	3	34	17	+17	39
4	Džiugas Telšiai	23	11	6	6	32	23	+9	39

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.95% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Suduva Marijampole has a 36.37% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.16 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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