Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC Sunday 02nd August 2026 01:30 PM football predictions.

Daejeon Citizen Gwangju FC

Daejeon Citizen D D D L L L

Gwangju FC L D L L D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Gwangju FC	Daejeon Citizen	0 - 5	May 2, 2026
Gwangju FC	Daejeon Citizen	2 - 0	August 17, 2025
Gwangju FC	Daejeon Citizen	2 - 2	June 22, 2025
Daejeon Citizen	Gwangju FC	1 - 1	March 29, 2025
Gwangju FC	Daejeon Citizen	0 - 0	November 2, 2024
Daejeon Citizen	Gwangju FC	2 - 0	September 1, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Home	Ulsan Hyundai FC	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 12, 26	Away	Jeju United FC	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Home	Bucheon FC 1995	2 - 2	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	FC Seoul	1 - 2	Loss
May 12, 26	Away	Gangwon FC	2 - 0	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Pohang Steelers	0 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Home	Pohang Steelers	0 - 3	Loss
Jul 5, 26	Home	Ulsan Hyundai FC	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	Incheon United	4 - 0	Loss
May 12, 26	Home	FC Seoul	0 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Gangwon FC	0 - 0	Draw
May 5, 26	Away	Jeonbuk Motors	4 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
10	Daejeon Citizen	17	4	6	7	19	18	+1	18
12	Gwangju FC	17	1	5	11	8	41	-33	8

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.31% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Daejeon Citizen has a 65.09% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.83 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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