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FA Cup

July 21, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Dalian Kewei Beijing Guoan
Dalian Kewei W W W
Beijing Guoan W W W W L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Dalian Kewei Form (Last 3 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 19, 26 Home Shenyang Urban 1 - 0 Win
May 15, 26 Home Nantong Zhiyun 2 - 1 Win
Apr 19, 26 Home Yichun Grand Tiger 2 - 0 Win

Beijing Guoan Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 4, 26 Home Shandong Luneng 2 - 0 Win
Jun 27, 26 Home Wuhan Three Towns 1 - 0 Win
Jun 19, 26 Away Guangzhou E-Power 1 - 2 Win
May 30, 26 Away Chongqing Tongliang Long 2 - 3 Win
May 23, 26 Home Henan Jianye 1 - 2 Loss
May 19, 26 Away Qingdao Youth Island 1 - 1 Draw

FA Cup Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Dalian Kewei 3 3 0 0 5 1 +4 9
20 Beijing Guoan 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.7% likelihood that both Dalian Kewei and Beijing Guoan will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Beijing Guoan to win
This prediction indicates that Beijing Guoan has a 72.57% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 14.28 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 80.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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