Dandenong City vs Preston Lions Friday 21st August 2026 12:45 PM football predictions.

Victoria NPL

Aug. 21, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Dandenong City Preston Lions

Dandenong City W D L L D W

Preston Lions D W D W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Preston Lions	Dandenong City	1 - 0	May 8, 2026
Preston Lions	Dandenong City	1 - 1	May 23, 2025
Dandenong City	Preston Lions	2 - 2	February 14, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Away	Dandenong Thunder	0 - 3	Win
Jul 24, 26	Away	Green Gully	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 17, 26	Away	Bentleigh Greens	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 10, 26	Home	South Melbourne	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Away	Hume City	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 26, 26	Home	Avondale	3 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 31, 26	Home	Green Gully	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 24, 26	Home	Bentleigh Greens	1 - 0	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	South Melbourne	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 10, 26	Home	Hume City	2 - 1	Win
Jul 4, 26	Away	Avondale	2 - 3	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	Sunshine Georgies	0 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Preston Lions	22	13	4	5	33	18	+15	43
8	Dandenong City	23	8	6	9	30	29	+1	30

This prediction indicates that Preston Lions has a 46.25% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.80 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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