Victoria NPL
Match Analysis
Dandenong City
Preston Lions
Dandenong City
W
W
D
L
L
D
Preston Lions
W
W
D
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, matches between Dandenong City and Preston Lions have often ended in draws. However, the model predicts an away win for Preston Lions with a 53% probability, noting that Preston Lions have a clear quality gap and stronger recent form, despite Dandenong City having a rest advantage. The model also suggests that both teams are likely to score and that the match will see more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals, aligning with Preston Lions' recent attacking strength. The market odds reflect less confidence in an away win and more goals than the model does.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Lions | Dandenong City | 1 - 0 | May 8, 2026 |
| Preston Lions | Dandenong City | 1 - 1 | May 23, 2025 |
| Dandenong City | Preston Lions | 2 - 2 | February 14, 2025 |
Dandenong City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Altona Magic | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Dandenong Thunder | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Green Gully | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Bentleigh Greens | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | South Melbourne | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Hume City | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Preston Lions Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 26 | Home | Melbourne City II | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Dandenong Thunder | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Green Gully | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Bentleigh Greens | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | South Melbourne | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | Hume City | 2 - 1 | Win |
Victoria NPL Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Preston Lions | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 40 | 18 | +22 | 49 |
| 8 | Dandenong City | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32 | 29 | +3 | 33 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.35% likelihood that both Dandenong City and Preston Lions will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Preston Lions to win
This prediction indicates that Preston Lions has a 52.69% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.00 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Top Picks
Subscribe to unlock top picks
View plans
Odds Comparison
Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds
View plans
Comments